Analysis of the factors determining coffee production in Mexico

Authors

  • Noel López-López Chapingo Autonomous University image/svg+xml Author
  • Ignacio Caamal-Cauich Chapingo Autonomous University image/svg+xml Author
  • Zulia Helena Caamal-Pat Chapingo Autonomous University image/svg+xml Author
  • José Antonio Ávila-Dorantes Chapingo Autonomous University image/svg+xml Author
  • Verna Gricel Pat-Fernández Chapingo Autonomous University image/svg+xml Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.29312/remexca.v17i4.4108

Keywords:

coffee production, economic factors, elasticity of supply, Mexican agricultural sector, multiple linear regression

Abstract

Coffee is one of the most important agricultural crops in Mexico due to its economic and social relevance and because it generates income in rural areas, placing the country in the fourteenth place worldwide as a producer. In order to identify the economic factors that determine national coffee production, an econometric study was conducted in Mexico for the 1960-2024 period. A multiple linear regression model was applied based on time series obtained from official sources such as INEGI, SADER, OIC and Banxico. The dependent variable was coffee production, explained by the cultivated area, international prices, real input prices and production lags. The results show a high level of fit (R²= 0.974; Fcalculated= 207.72> Ftabulated= 2.15), indicating that the selected variables significantly explain the variations in production. It was found that the cultivated area, lagged production and two- and four-period lagged prices positively influence production, while international prices and some price lags have negative effects. In conclusion, Mexican coffee production depends mainly on the cultivated area and the behavior of production in previous years, reflecting the temporal persistence characteristic of this perennial crop.

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References

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Published

2026-06-27

Issue

Vol. 17 No. 4 (2026)

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Articles

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How to Cite

López-López, Noel, Ignacio Caamal-Cauich, Zulia Helena Caamal-Pat, José Antonio Ávila-Dorantes, and Verna Gricel Pat-Fernández. 2026. “Analysis of the Factors Determining Coffee Production in Mexico”. Revista Mexicana De Ciencias Agrícolas 17 (4): e4108. https://doi.org/10.29312/remexca.v17i4.4108.

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